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Defender of the Year 2025-26: Three Finalists, Three Different Cases

Defender of the Year is a tough category to boil down to just one metric. “Defender” can be a bit of a misnomer considering the heavy involvement they have on offense, often leading to them being referred to as a Blue-line Player. In fact, our three finalists only lead the league in offensive stats (Goals, Shots, Primary Assists) for the Defender position, with defensive stats like blocked shots being led by players off the short list.

The nominations therefore seem to be based on “Best Player from the Defender position” rather than focusing on raw defensive stats. This post dives into the different ways the players have made an impact for their team from several different perspectives in hopes of finding a clear winner.

The numbers each finalist puts up

As mentioned above, Jaques, Keller, & Winn make up the top 3 for Goals, Shots, and Primary Assists, and all three of them in the same ballpark for Secondary Assists. In the Shot Blocking category, Haley Winn shows as a clear favorite with 45 blocks — ranking 4th in the league.

Sophie Jaques
Megan Keller
Haley Winn
Goals
9
#1 of 67
7
#2 of 67
5
#3 of 67
Shots
110
#1 of 67
68
#3 of 67
92
#2 of 67
Primary assists
7
#3 of 67
10
#1 of 67
8
#2 of 67
Secondary assists
4
#11 of 67
5
#8 of 67
6
#6 of 67
Hits
17
#28 of 67
50
#3 of 67
32
#12 of 67
Blocks
39
#12 of 67
23
#30 of 67
45
#4 of 67
xG Diff (on-ice)
+1.5
#16 of 67
+9.8
#1 of 67
+7.9
#2 of 67

Rank is among all PWHL defenders in the regular season. Blocks use raw-feed corrected counts (the live /analytics/uncontested page reports a different number — that's the ingest bug discussed in the post).

Play Maker — involvement in scoring sequences

Starting offensive, the Playmaker stat is my attempt at showing player activity that leads to shots/goals for their team. Playmaker extends past the usual point attribution of goal/primary assist/secondary assist to add in blocks, hits, and other events that are part of a continuous scoring sequence. In other words, how often is a player involved when something good happens for their team.

As you can see, these 3 are the clear front-runners by a large margin. This is likely due to their outsized offensive contribution for their team in goals and assists, but those don’t tell the whole story. As shown in the Shot-chains and Scoring-chains column, these players are heavily involved in sequences that lead to scoring chances.

Defender Play Points G A1 A2 Scoring chains Shot chains
VAN Sophie Jaques finalist
85.0
9 7 4 23 119
BOS Megan Keller finalist
72.5
7 10 5 26 80
BOS Haley Winn finalist
71.0
5 8 6 21 96
MTL Nicole Gosling
57.5
3 5 11 21 68
MIN Kendall Cooper
55.3
2 6 11 24 56
OTT Ronja Savolainen
48.8
4 4 2 13 72
TOR Renata Fast
48.7
1 6 3 12 78
VAN Claire Thompson
48.5
4 6 7 18 52

Play Points = 1.0 per scoring chain + 0.4 per shot chain + 1.0 per goal + 0.6 per primary assist (A1) + 0.3 per secondary assist (A2). A possession chain is a continuous stretch where one team has the puck, ending when the other team takes possession. A scoring chain ends in a goal; a shot chain produced at least one shot but no goal. A player counts toward a chain if they have a tracked event in it (a shot, hit, blocked shot, or faceoff win) — or are credited as the A1 or A2 assister on the goal, even if their pass wasn't logged as its own event.

On-ice impact — goal suppression

This next section explores each defender’s goal suppression via the opponent's expected goals per 60 minutes (xG/60). Effectively, how much did the defender’s presence on the ice lower the opponent’s chances of scoring.

I have further separated this out to show the differences between the defender and the rest of their team, as well as the rest of the league. This is in hopes of reducing bias due to one player’s team being stronger overall. It also raises the point, is this award for the most valuable player to her team? Or compared to the league overall? If the former, Sophie Jaques clearly deserves the nod, as the rest of Vancouver’s defense can’t seem to stop anyone without her. If the latter, Keller and Winn are in a dead heat.

Sophie Jaques

Opposing shooter Team xG/60 on xG/60 off (same game) xG/60 vs other teams Δ within-team Δ cross-team
Hayley Scamurra MTL 0.91 3.59 0.60 +2.69 -0.31
Julia Gosling SEA 0.99 3.00 0.61 +2.00 -0.38
Abby Hustler MIN 0.31 2.28 0.58 +1.96 +0.27
Shiann Darkangelo MTL 1.49 3.36 0.58 +1.88 -0.90
Klára Hymlárová MIN 0.00 1.69 0.32 +1.69 +0.32

Megan Keller

Opposing shooter Team xG/60 on xG/60 off (same game) xG/60 vs other teams Δ within-team Δ cross-team
Mannon McMahon VAN 0.15 2.24 0.49 +2.09 +0.34
Anna Meixner VAN 0.00 2.04 0.46 +2.04 +0.46
Natalie Snodgrass SEA 0.29 2.00 0.36 +1.71 +0.08
Abby Roque MTL 0.85 2.43 0.43 +1.58 -0.42
Maggie Connors TOR 0.29 1.84 0.63 +1.55 +0.34

Haley Winn

Opposing shooter Team xG/60 on xG/60 off (same game) xG/60 vs other teams Δ within-team Δ cross-team
Taylor Heise MIN 0.24 2.79 0.67 +2.56 +0.44
Michela Cava OTT 0.44 2.60 0.44 +2.16 -0.01
Kendall Coyne Schofield MIN 0.32 2.38 1.03 +2.06 +0.71
Jenn Gardiner VAN 0.00 1.84 0.58 +1.84 +0.58
Brianne Jenner OTT 0.44 2.06 0.64 +1.62 +0.20

Δ within-team = xG/60 when defender is on the bench (same game) minus xG/60 when defender is on the ice. Δ cross-team = xG/60 in games where the defender's team isn't playing minus xG/60 when defender is on the ice. Green = both baselines agree on suppression (robust); red = X actually performs better against this defender than the baseline.

Same forwards, three finalists — apples-to-apples

To compare apples-to-apples, here are each defender’s xG differences when facing the top 10 PWHL forwards (by xG). Here is where Haley Winn begins to pull away in defensive presence, with a near even or positive difference in xG when she is on ice compared to the rest of the team. Sophie Jaques falls behind here, being mostly negative or slightly breaking even within her own team. Surprisingly, none of the defenders appear to outperform the league average.

Forward Team Season xG Sophie Jaques Megan Keller Haley Winn
Δ within Δ cross Δ within Δ cross Δ within Δ cross
Rebecca Leslie OTT 9.3 -1.07 -2.26 +0.63 -0.06 -0.13 -0.38
Sarah Fillier NY 8.3 -1.46 -3.40 +0.02 -0.46 +0.27 -0.33
Laura Stacey MTL 8.2 -0.51 -0.20 +1.15 +0.27 +1.43 +0.38
Natalie Spooner TOR 7.3 +0.94 -0.21 -0.25 -0.75 +1.39 +0.26
Kendall Coyne Schofield MIN 7.2 low TOI +1.21 +0.32 +2.06 +0.71
Alex Carpenter SEA 7.1 +0.64 -0.15 -0.19 -0.51 +0.36 -0.19
Kristýna Kaltounková NY 7.1 +0.25 -0.40 -0.14 -1.39 -1.16 -1.97
Grace Zumwinkle MIN 6.9 low TOI -0.57 -0.27 +0.12 +0.13
Emily Clark OTT 6.7 -1.30 -1.58 +1.05 +0.30 -0.14 -0.12
Blayre Turnbull TOR 6.7 -1.55 -1.83 -1.00 -0.90 -0.25 -0.46

Top-10 PWHL forwards by total xG this regular season. Each finalist's Δ-within (same-game on/off) and Δ-cross (vs the forward's average against other teams) for that specific shooter. Green = both baselines show suppression (robust signal); red = the forward outperforms their baseline against this defender; "low TOI" = at least one of overlap / off-ice / cross-team buckets fell below the 5-min thresholds and the comparison would be too noisy.

Keller and Winn — a package deal

Throwing a wrench into this comparison is the fact that Keller & Winn play as a pair, making separating out their achievements individually becomes murky at best. Below is a comparison table of how they perform when on ice together, and who has the advantage when out there alone. As you can see, they shine when playing as a pair and are back and forth when playing alone.

Opposing shooter xG/60 — both on xG/60 — Keller only xG/60 — Winn only xG/60 — both off Pair effect K − W
Lina Ljungblom 0.38 0.52 0.00 1.86 +1.47 +0.52
Laura Stacey 0.33 0.22 0.00 1.74 +1.41 +0.22
Abby Roque 0.47 0.29 0.37 1.83 +1.36 -0.09
Sarah Nurse 0.27 0.83 0.41 1.54 +1.27 +0.41
Denisa Křížová 0.00 0.00 0.94 1.18 +1.18 -0.94
Skylar Irving 0.00 1.15 0.00 1.18 +1.18 +1.15
Brianne Jenner 0.09 0.70 0.57 1.12 +1.03 +0.13
Natalie Snodgrass 0.15 0.31 0.78 1.11 +0.96 -0.47
Taylor Heise 0.21 1.38 0.00 1.16 +0.96 +1.38
Kendall Coyne Schofield 0.31 0.51 0.00 1.14 +0.83 +0.51
Daryl Watts 0.15 0.00 0.79 0.93 +0.79 -0.79
Danielle Serdachny 0.33 0.85 0.47 1.11 +0.78 +0.38

Pair effect = xG/60 when both are off minus xG/60 when both are on (positive = pair suppresses together). K − W = Keller-only xG/60 minus Winn-only xG/60. Negative cell (green) = Keller more individually suppressing for that shooter; positive (red) = Winn more individually suppressing. Filtered to ≥5 minutes in each bucket.

The snub

A particular shoutout I would like to make is the snub of Maggie Flaherty. In purely defensive measures she excels, ranking higher than Jaques in Hits and Blocks. The blocks category is particularly impressive, as she is 8 blocks higher than the next closest defender even with Montreal allowing the fewest shots-against in the whole league. She does, however, fall behind the chosen finalists in offensive stats and play-making potential.

Goals Shots Primary assists Secondary assists Hits Blocks xG Diff (on-ice)
Maggie Flaherty
4
#4 of 67
40
#20 of 67
2
#22 of 67
3
#17 of 67
30
#14 of 67
63
#1 of 67
+3.5
#7 of 67

Flaherty's stats with her league-wide rank among defenders. Highlighted cell = she leads the league in that stat.

Conclusion

With all that said, who deserves Defender of the Year? I have no clue.

Sophie Jaques proves that she is essential to Vancouver’s success. With her on the ice, Vancouver defends demonstrably better with serious opponent xG suppression compared to the rest of her team. Along with that she is heavily involved in setting up plays that lead to scoring opportunities as shown in the Play-maker stat. However, in raw defensive statistics she lags behind Winn by a fair margin, and the xG Diff isn’t even close.

Keller vs. Winn — virtually inseparable

Considering they are almost always on the ice together, it is difficult to separate these two players in a raw numbers analysis. In most stats they are within a single player ranking of each other, they are both very involved in creating scoring plays, and are effectively a toss-up on how well they suppress opposing teams in the few cases where only one of them is on the ice at a time.